Politician · policy

Javier Milei on GDP Inflation

Anti-inflation shock therapy (strong)

Javier Milei considers runaway inflation the foremost issue dominating contemporary Argentine politics, which he contends has spiraled out of control due to decades of economic mismanagement, largely attributed to the Peronist establishment.

As President, his main objective has been to aggressively combat this situation through anti-inflationary economic policies, specifically a program of shock therapy involving deep spending cuts and deregulation to stop the deterioration.

Milei's administration has pointed to significant success, with annual inflation sharply decreasing from near 300% during his initial months to much lower figures by 2025, though this has coincided with initial GDP contraction and societal consequences from austerity.

Context

Inflation has been a persistent feature of the Argentine economy, and Javier Milei has built his political brand as a vocal critic of the policies that sustain it. His economic philosophy, rooted in the Austrian School of economics, directly rejects fiscal expansion and monetary accommodation as the causes of inflation.

His proposed overhaul includes eliminating the Central Bank of Argentina, which he views as the entity responsible for the 'inflation tax,' making the fight against inflation central to his entire political platform and presidential mandate.

Timeline

  1. Began presidency with annual inflation near 254.2% and warned of an economic shock necessary to fix financial woes.
  2. Annual inflation peaked at 300% under his administration despite initial austerity measures.
  3. Reported that monthly inflation reached a five-year low of 2.2%, indicating the 'shock' was taking effect.
  4. Annual inflation rate came in at 39.4%, and monthly inflation reached a 5-year low of 1.5%.

Actions Taken

  1. Economic policy implementation
    Implemented 'shock therapy' economic measures, including drastic government spending cuts and deregulation, as his primary tool to stop inflation from getting worse.
  2. Fiscal reform
    Reduced government spending by 30% and laid off approximately 52,000 federal employees in an effort to achieve a fiscal surplus and curb monetary emission fueling inflation.
  3. Fiscal outcome
    Achieved a budget surplus for six consecutive months, which is necessary to stabilize the currency and halt the inflationary cycle, according to his administration.

Criticism

Catholic University of Argentina (UCA)

While the government reported poverty reduction alongside inflation control, UCA disputed the magnitude of the reduction, suggesting consumption rate adjustments and rising healthcare costs tempered the relief.